Proposed Violent Sex-Pred Sentences

The Kansas Senate passed Senate Bill 334 with new sentencing guidelines for sex crimes. The bill sets a mandatory minimum sentence of 25 years without parole on first-time sex offenders where the victim is a child. A minimum 40-year sentence is imposed on second time sex offenders. A life sentence without the possibility of parole is given to third-time offenders. Lifetime parole and attachment to an electronic monitoring device is included for these offenders upon release. An 18-year-old first-time convictee would be 43 when released. Assuming another similar conviction within 2 years of release (at age 45), this habitual sexual predator would serve another 40 years before release at age 85. What are the odds that a third conviction will earn the ultimate sentence: life without parole?